Accurate decisions in an uncertain world: collective cognition increases true positives while decreasing false positives

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چکیده

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Accurate decisions in an uncertain world: collective cognition increases true positives while decreasing false positives.

In a wide range of contexts, including predator avoidance, medical decision-making and security screening, decision accuracy is fundamentally constrained by the trade-off between true and false positives. Increased true positives are possible only at the cost of increased false positives; conversely, decreased false positives are associated with decreased true positives. We use an integrated th...

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ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences

سال: 2013

ISSN: 0962-8452,1471-2954

DOI: 10.1098/rspb.2012.2777